The Bayes Blind Spot of a finite Bayesian Agent is a large set

Abstract

The Bayes Blind Spot of a Bayesian Agent is the set of probability measures on a Boolean algebra that are absolutely continuous with respect to the background probability measure of a Bayesian Agent on the algebra and which the Bayesian Agent cannot learn by conditionalizing no matter what evidence he has about the elements in the Boolean algebra. It is shown that if the Boolean algebra is finite, then the Bayes Blind Spot is a very large set: it has the same cardinality as the set of all probability measures ; it has the same measure as the measure of the set of all probability measures ; and is a ``fat'' set in topological sense in the set of all probability measures taken with its natural topology.

Links

PhilArchive



    Upload a copy of this work     Papers currently archived: 92,440

External links

Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server

Through your library

  • Only published works are available at libraries.

Similar books and articles

Bayesian probability.Patrick Maher - 2010 - Synthese 172 (1):119 - 127.
Probabilistic Induction and Hume’s Problem: Reply to Lange.Samir Okasha - 2003 - Philosophical Quarterly 53 (212):419–424.
A Rule For Updating Ambiguous Beliefs.Cesaltina Pacheco Pires - 2002 - Theory and Decision 53 (2):137-152.
Cardinality Arguments Against Regular Probability Measures.Thomas Hofweber - 2014 - Thought: A Journal of Philosophy 3 (2):166-175.
A Boolean model of ultrafilters.Thierry Coquand - 1999 - Annals of Pure and Applied Logic 99 (1-3):231-239.
Strictly positive measures on Boolean algebras.Mirna Džamonja & Grzegorz Plebanek - 2008 - Journal of Symbolic Logic 73 (4):1416-1432.
Is the blind spot blind?C. R. Garvey - 1933 - Journal of Experimental Psychology 16 (1):83.

Analytics

Added to PP
2018-07-18

Downloads
58 (#278,847)

6 months
14 (#187,787)

Historical graph of downloads
How can I increase my downloads?

Author Profiles

Zalan Gyenis
Jagiellonian University
Miklós Rédei
London School of Economics

References found in this work

Commutativity or Holism? A Dilemma for Conditionalizers.Jonathan Weisberg - 2009 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 60 (4):793-812.
Radical probabilism and bayesian conditioning.Richard Bradley - 2005 - Philosophy of Science 72 (2):342-364.
Bayesian conditionalization and probability kinematics.Colin Howson & Allan Franklin - 1994 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 45 (2):451-466.

Add more references