Cardinality Arguments Against Regular Probability Measures

Thought: A Journal of Philosophy 3 (2):166-175 (2014)
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Abstract

Cardinality arguments against regular probability measures aim to show that no matter which ordered field ℍ we select as the measures for probability, we can find some event space F of sufficiently large cardinality such that there can be no regular probability measure from F into ℍ. In particular, taking ℍ to be hyperreal numbers won't help to guarantee that probability measures can always be regular. I argue that such cardinality arguments fail, since they rely on the wrong conception of the role of numbers as measures of probability. With the proper conception of their role we can see that for any event space F, of any cardinality, there are regular hyperreal-valued probability measures.

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Thomas Hofweber
University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill

References found in this work

Philosophical papers.David Kellogg Lewis - 1983 - New York: Oxford University Press.
Regularity and Hyperreal Credences.Kenny Easwaran - 2014 - Philosophical Review 123 (1):1-41.

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