Dutch Books, Coherence, and Logical Consistency

Noûs 49 (3):522-537 (2015)
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Abstract

In this paper I present a new way of understanding Dutch Book Arguments: the idea is that an agent is shown to be incoherent iff he would accept as fair a set of bets that would result in a loss under any interpretation of the claims involved. This draws on a standard definition of logical inconsistency. On this new understanding, the Dutch Book Arguments for the probability axioms go through, but the Dutch Book Argument for Reflection fails. The question of whether we have a Dutch Book Argument for Conditionalization is left open

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Anna Mahtani
London School of Economics

Citations of this work

Externalism and exploitability.Nilanjan Das - 2020 - Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 104 (1):101-128.
Dutch book arguments.Susan Vineberg - 2011 - Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy.
Dutch Books and Logical Form.Joel Pust - 2021 - Philosophy of Science 88 (5):961-970.

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References found in this work

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Truth and probability.Frank Ramsey - 2010 - In Antony Eagle (ed.), Philosophy of Probability: Contemporary Readings. New York: Routledge. pp. 52-94.
Vagueness.Timothy Williamson - 1995 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 46 (4):589-601.
The concept of logical consequence.John Etchemendy - 1990 - Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
Belief and the Will.Bas C. van Fraassen - 1984 - Journal of Philosophy 81 (5):235-256.

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