Uncertainty, Learning, and the “Problem” of Dilation

Erkenntnis 79 (6):1287-1303 (2014)
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Abstract

Imprecise probabilism—which holds that rational belief/credence is permissibly represented by a set of probability functions—apparently suffers from a problem known as dilation. We explore whether this problem can be avoided or mitigated by one of the following strategies: (a) modifying the rule by which the credal state is updated, (b) restricting the domain of reasonable credal states to those that preclude dilation

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Author Profiles

Seamus Bradley
London School of Economics (PhD)
Katie Steele
Australian National University